Predict.fun review
The second-largest on-chain venue after Polymarket on DefiLlama: a central order book on BNB Chain, a taker fee that peaks at 2% at 50¢, and Venus yield on open positions. Its terms name the operator, PDF Labs, under British Virgin Islands law, and exclude the US, the UK and France.
predict.fun
Event contracts can expire worthless, and many countries treat prediction markets as gambling. Adults only, where it is legal. Only stake what you can afford to lose.
In an allowed country but the site won’t open? Your VPN may be connected to a country this platform excludes. Turn it off and the page will load.
Event contracts can expire worthless, and many countries treat prediction markets as gambling. Adults only, where it is legal. Only stake what you can afford to lose.
In an allowed country but the site won’t open? Your VPN may be connected to a country this platform excludes. Turn it off and the page will load.
- Taker fee
- 2% at 50¢ · 10% off with an inviteTakers pay 2% × min(p, 1 − p) × shares: 100 contracts at 50¢ cost $1.00, or $0.90 with an invite code. Makers pay nothing. Minimum order 1 USDT. Open positions earn Venus yield, minus a 10% management fee.
- 30-day volume
- $380MDefiLlama, 30 days to 26/10/2026, amount paid; DefiLlama counts BNB Chain and the older Blast deployment.
- Excluded countries
- 13Terms dated 18 November 2025: the US, the UK, France, Ontario, Singapore, Poland, Thailand and Taiwan, plus sanctioned Iran, Syria, Cuba, North Korea, Crimea, Donetsk and Luhansk. Australia and Belgium appear in the terms' capitalised notice but not in their definition of restricted jurisdictions.
- Type
- VenueLists, matches and settles its own markets
- Operator
- PDF Labs LimitedIts terms are governed by British Virgin Islands law; no licence or regulator is named.
- Custody
- Smart wallet in your name; Predict never holds the keys
- Identity check (KYC)
- Not documentedNo KYC policy is published: you sign up with an email, a Google or X account, or your own wallet, and declare that you are not in an excluded country.
- Resolution
- Optimistic oracleUMA's optimistic oracle settles markets created since March 2026: a bonded proposal, a challenge window, then a UMA token-holder vote if disputed. Recurring up/down crypto markets settle from Chainlink Data Streams. Its technical overview describes a simplified adapter with no bond or dispute, which contradicts the help pages.
- Settles on
- BNB Chain · USDT, USDC
Checked 26 Oct 20267 sources
Who it’s for
Pick it if
You trade on BNB Chain and want a low fee at 50¢ with yield on your open positions.
Skip it if
You need a native mobile app or a published KYC policy, or you are in one of its excluded countries.
Strengths / Limits
Strengths
- 2% at 50¢, 10% less with an invite, and makers pay nothing.
- Open positions earn yield through Venus, minus a 10% management fee.
- Predict Points reward trading and resting orders every week.
Limits
- No KYC policy published and no regulator named.
- Its own pages disagree on whether UMA bonds and disputes apply.
- Web only: no native iOS or Android app.
Excluded countries
Terms dated 18 November 2025: the US, the UK, France, Ontario, Singapore, Poland, Thailand and Taiwan, plus sanctioned Iran, Syria, Cuba, North Korea, Crimea, Donetsk and Luhansk. Australia and Belgium appear in the terms' capitalised notice but not in their definition of restricted jurisdictions.
Australia
Belgium
Cuba
France
Iran
North Korea
Poland
Singapore
Syria
Taiwan
Thailand
United Kingdom
United States
Markets listed
- Politics
- Crypto
- Sports
- Economics
- Culture
- Tech
What it offers
- Order bookYes
- Anyone can create a marketNo
- Combos / parlaysNot documented
- Maker rebatesNot documented
- Yield on collateralYes
- Trading APIYes
- Mobile appNot documented
- Telegram botNot documented
- Own tokenNo
- Points programYes
“Not documented” means we found no official page, not that the feature is missing.
How to start safely
- Check that you are allowed to trade
Read the excluded countries on the card. If yours is listed, do not trade there: platforms such as Polymarket forbid getting around their blocks with a VPN in their terms.
- Open the official site yourself
Type predict.fun or use a bookmark: fake prediction market sites and “airdrop” pages are common and drain wallets.
- Read the market rules
Every market names its resolution source and its end date. A contract pays on what those rules say, not on what the headline says.
- Start small and mind the fee
Fee formulas peak around 50¢. A limit order that waits in the book usually pays less than one that takes the best price, and often nothing.
Security record
No incident found in our sources. That is not a guarantee.
Official domains: predict.fun
Card history
Every change to the figures on this card, dated the day it went live. Rewording is left out.
Added to DegenBench
A figure is wrong or out of date? Send it with the official source: once checked, the fix shows up here, dated.Report an error
Sources
Checked on 26 Oct 2026. Facts change quickly: re-check prices and fees in the app.
Predict.fun2% at 50¢ · predict.fun
Open