9 prediction markets for crypto traders, ranked by real volume
You buy a contract that pays $1 if an event happens, and sell it before the end or hold it until the market settles. Venues are ranked by 30-day volume on DefiLlama, except Kalshi, placed third while its volume is questioned; the wallets and apps that route orders to them close the list. One side of every market ends at zero.
Event contracts can expire worthless, and many countries treat prediction markets as gambling. Adults only, where it is legal. Only stake what you can afford to lose.
Most of these platforms exclude the United States, the United Kingdom, France and other countries in their own terms, and several regulators block them. Check the rules where you live before opening an account.
Venues
They list the markets, run the order book and settle every contract. Ranked by 30-day volume on DefiLlama, except Kalshi, placed third while its volume is questioned.
Fee at 50¢3.48%
- Identity check (KYC)
- KYC required
- 30-day volume
- $3.14B
Fee at 50¢0–3.5%
- Identity check (KYC)
- Above a threshold
- 30-day volume
- $2.31B
Fee at 50¢3.5%
- Identity check (KYC)
- KYC required
- 30-day volume
- $15.4B · volume questioned
Fee at 50¢2%
- Identity check (KYC)
- Not documented
- 30-day volume
- $380M
Fee at 50¢0.5–1%
- Identity check (KYC)
- Not documented
- 30-day volume
- $267M
Fee at 50¢3%
- Identity check (KYC)
- No KYC
- 30-day volume
- $66M
Fee at 50¢Not published
- Identity check (KYC)
- No KYC
- 30-day volume
- $56.4M
Wallets and apps
They send your orders to another venue's markets, sometimes with a fee of their own on top. They close the series, A–Z.
Fee at 50¢0–7%
- Identity check (KYC)
- Not documented
- Routes orders to
- Polymarket
Fee at 50¢4–5%
- Identity check (KYC)
- Not documented
- Routes orders to
- World, Kalshi
The prediction market checklist
The fee on a $50 stake at 50¢, custody, KYC and settlement side by side. Tap a name for the full review.
| # | Platform | Type | Fee at 50¢ | Self-custody | KYC | Settles on | 30-day volume | Review |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #01 | Polymarket US | Venue | 3.48%$1.74 | No | KYC required | Polymarket Clearing | $3.14B | Open |
| #02 | Polymarket | Venue | 0–3.5%$0.00–1.75 | Yes | Above a threshold | Polygon | $2.31B | Open |
| #03 | Kalshi | Venue | 3.5%$1.75 | No | KYC required | Kalshi Klear | $15.4Bvolume questioned | Open |
| #04 | Predict.fun | Venue | 2%$1.00 | Yes | Not documented | BNB Chain | $380M | Open |
| #05 | Opinion | Venue | 0.5–1%$0.25–0.50 | Yes | Not documented | BNB Chain | $267M | Open |
| #06 | XO Market | Venue | 3%$1.50 | Yes | No KYC | XO rollup (Celestia DA) | $66M | Open |
| #07 | Hyperliquid Outcomes | Venue | Not published | Yes | No KYC | HyperCore (L1 Hyperliquid) | $56.4M | Open |
| #08 | Jupiter Predict | Wallet or appPolymarket | 0–7%$0.00–3.50 | Yes | Not documented | Solana | Not tracked | Open |
| #09 | Phantom | Wallet or appWorld, Kalshi | 4–5%$2.00–2.50 | Yes | Not documented | Solana (World) · Kalshi Klear (US) | Not tracked | Open |
