XO Market vs Jupiter Predict
Same lines, side by side: fee at 50¢, custody, KYC, excluded countries, resolution and volume, from official pages and DefiLlama.
See the 20 differences
| Line | XO Market | Jupiter Predict |
|---|---|---|
| Type | VenueLists, matches and settles its own markets | Wallet or appPolymarket |
| Taker fee | Edge3% at 50¢Takers pay shares × base rate × p × (1 − p). The base rate is 6% on Pulse rounds, so 100 contracts at 50¢ cost $1.50; other markets set their own. Makers pay nothing and receive 35% of the taker fee on eligible markets. Creating a market costs $1 plus a seed order of at least $10. | 2–5.5% at 50¢On Polymarket markets you pay Polymarket's taker fee plus a Jupiter builder fee, currently 2% of trade value on every buy and sell, maker fills and fee-free markets included: 100 contracts at 50¢ cost $2.75 in crypto, $2.25 in sports, $2.00 in politics and $1.00 in geopolitics. Sports tickets carry no fee, Forecast a 0.1% swap fee included in the quote, and Arcade takes 1% of winnings. Trades settle in JupUSD, so paying with another token adds a swap cost; Solana network fees are paid in SOL. |
| 30-day volume | Edge$66M | Not tracked |
| Custody | Self-custody smart wallet | Self-custody: you sign every order in your wallet |
| Identity check (KYC) | No KYCNo identity check to open an account or trade; contest and referral payouts may require verification. | Not documentedNo identity check is documented: a Solana wallet, or a Jupiter ID created with an email, Google or Apple account, is enough to start. |
| Excluded countries | 8Its terms exclude the US, the UK, France, Singapore and Ontario, plus Cuba, Iran, North Korea and Syria. No date is shown on the page. | 18Jupiter's terms list 18 prohibited countries, including the US, Taiwan, Singapore, Iran and North Korea, plus Crimea and Sevastopol. France is not on the list, although Polymarket, whose markets Jupiter routes, excludes France on its own site. Jupiter's FAQ says the mobile app blocks more regions than the web. |
| Resolution | AI panel, human appealMODRA, a panel of independent AI agents, drafts the rules and proposes outcomes; when agents disagree or a trader challenges, a court of staked human jurors decides. XO can also void a market. Stories, its multi-leg bets, settle on the data sources in their leg rules, reviewed by XO where required, and XO takes the other side; MODRA applies only if the leg rules say so. | Settled by the source venueEach market follows its source's rules: Jupiter records Polymarket's result without changing it, and refunds cancelled or voided markets. |
| Settles on | XO rollup (Celestia DA) | Solana |
| Collateral | USDC | USDC, JupUSD |
| Operator | Not documented | Block Raccoon S.A. |
| Token | No token | JUPSolana |
| Where it runs | Web | Web, iOS, Android, Telegram |
| Chains | — | EdgeSolanaSolana |
| Documented features | Edge6 of 10 | 5 of 10 |
| Order book | Yes | Not documented |
| Anyone can create a market | Yes | No |
| Combos / parlays | Yes | Yes |
| Maker rebates | Yes | Not documented |
| Yield on collateral | Not documented | Not documented |
| Trading API | Yes | Yes |
| Mobile app | Not documented | Yes |
| Telegram bot | Not documented | Yes |
| Own token | No | Yes |
| Points program | Yes | Not documented |
Which one should you pick?
Pick XO Market if
You want to create your own markets and earn 20% of their lifetime trading fees.
The most open venue in the series: anyone can create a market for $1 plus a $10 seed, and a panel of AI agents resolves it, with staked human jurors on appeal. No company is named behind it, and its taker fee depends on the market: 3% at 50¢ on Pulse rounds.
Read the XO Market reviewAffiliate link in eligible countries
Pick Jupiter Predict if
You live on Solana and want Polymarket's markets without bridging to Polygon.
The easiest way into Polymarket's markets from Solana: sign in with a wallet or an email and trade in USDC or JupUSD, on the web, on mobile or through a Telegram bot. You pay for the convenience: on every trade, Jupiter adds a builder fee, currently 2% of trade value, to Polymarket's own fee, even on markets where polymarket.com charges nothing.
Read the Jupiter Predict reviewjup.ag
