Predict.fun vs Jupiter Predict
Same lines, side by side: fee at 50¢, custody, KYC, excluded countries, resolution and volume, from official pages and DefiLlama.
See the 21 differences
| Line | Predict.fun | Jupiter Predict |
|---|---|---|
| Type | VenueLists, matches and settles its own markets | Wallet or appPolymarket |
| Taker fee | Edge2% at 50¢Takers pay 2% × min(p, 1 − p) × shares: 100 contracts at 50¢ cost $1.00, or $0.90 with an invite code. Makers pay nothing. Minimum order 1 USDT. Open positions earn Venus yield, minus a 10% management fee. | 0–7% at 50¢Jupiter adds a fee equal to Polymarket's on each market, so you pay twice Polymarket's fee: 100 contracts at 50¢ cost $3.50 in crypto, $2.50 in sports, $2.00 in politics and nothing in geopolitics. Sports tickets and Forecast carry no fee, Arcade takes 1% of winnings, and Solana network fees are paid in SOL. |
| 30-day volume | Edge$380M | Not tracked |
| New-user perk | Edge10% off trading fees with an invite code | None documented |
| Custody | Smart wallet in your name; Predict never holds the keys | Self-custody: you sign every order in your wallet |
| Identity check (KYC) | Not documentedNo KYC policy is published: you sign up with an email, a Google or X account, or your own wallet, and declare that you are not in an excluded country. | Not documentedNo identity check is documented: a Solana wallet, or a Jupiter ID created with an email, Google or Apple account, is enough to start. |
| Excluded countries | 13Terms dated 18 November 2025: the US, the UK, France, Ontario, Singapore, Poland, Thailand and Taiwan, plus sanctioned Iran, Syria, Cuba, North Korea, Crimea, Donetsk and Luhansk. Australia and Belgium appear in the terms' capitalised notice but not in their definition of restricted jurisdictions. | 18Jupiter's terms list 18 prohibited countries, including the US, Taiwan, Singapore, Iran and North Korea, plus Crimea and Sevastopol. France is not on the list, although Polymarket, whose markets Jupiter routes, excludes France on its own site. Jupiter's FAQ says the mobile app blocks more regions than the web. |
| Resolution | Optimistic oracleUMA's optimistic oracle settles markets created since March 2026: a bonded proposal, a challenge window, then a UMA token-holder vote if disputed. Recurring up/down crypto markets settle from Chainlink Data Streams. Its technical overview describes a simplified adapter with no bond or dispute, which contradicts the help pages. | Settled by the source venueEach market follows its source's rules: Jupiter records Polymarket's result without changing it, and refunds cancelled or voided markets. |
| Settles on | BNB Chain | Solana |
| Collateral | USDT, USDC | USDC, JupUSD |
| Operator | PDF Labs Limited | Block Raccoon S.A. |
| Token | No token | JUPSolana |
| Where it runs | Web | Web, iOS, Android, Telegram |
| Chains | EVMBNB Chain | SolanaSolana |
| Documented features | 4 of 10 | 4 of 10 |
| Order book | Yes | Not documented |
| Anyone can create a market | No | No |
| Combos / parlays | Not documented | No |
| Maker rebates | Not documented | Not documented |
| Yield on collateral | Yes | Not documented |
| Trading API | Yes | Yes |
| Mobile app | Not documented | Yes |
| Telegram bot | Not documented | Yes |
| Own token | No | Yes |
| Points program | Yes | Not documented |
Which one should you pick?
Pick Predict.fun if
You trade on BNB Chain and want a low fee at 50¢ with yield on your open positions.
The second-largest on-chain venue after Polymarket on DefiLlama: a central order book on BNB Chain, a taker fee that peaks at 2% at 50¢, and Venus yield on open positions. Its terms name the operator, PDF Labs, under British Virgin Islands law, and exclude the US, the UK and France.
Read the Predict.fun reviewpredict.fun
Pick Jupiter Predict if
You live on Solana and want Polymarket's markets without bridging to Polygon.
The easiest way into Polymarket's markets from Solana: sign in with a wallet or an email and trade in USDC or JupUSD, on the web, on mobile or through a Telegram bot. You pay for the convenience: Jupiter adds a fee equal to Polymarket's, so each trade costs twice what it would on polymarket.com.
Read the Jupiter Predict reviewjup.ag
