Hyperliquid Outcomes vs Jupiter Predict
Same lines, side by side: fee at 50¢, custody, KYC, excluded countries, resolution and volume, from official pages and DefiLlama.
See the 19 differences
| Line | Hyperliquid Outcomes | Jupiter Predict |
|---|---|---|
| Type | VenueLists, matches and settles its own markets | Wallet or appPolymarket |
| Taker fee | Not publishedHyperliquid's fee page says outcome trades pay only when a position is closed or settled, never when it opens, but gives no rate, and its HIP-4 page still says outcome fees are zero during testing. DefiLlama counted $75.5K of outcome fees over 30 days, front-end builder fees included, on $56.4M of volume. Makers pay nothing. | 2–5.5% at 50¢On Polymarket markets you pay Polymarket's taker fee plus a Jupiter builder fee, currently 2% of trade value on every buy and sell, maker fills and fee-free markets included: 100 contracts at 50¢ cost $2.75 in crypto, $2.25 in sports, $2.00 in politics and $1.00 in geopolitics. Sports tickets carry no fee, Forecast a 0.1% swap fee included in the quote, and Arcade takes 1% of winnings. Trades settle in JupUSD, so paying with another token adds a swap cost; Solana network fees are paid in SOL. |
| 30-day volume | Edge$56.4M | Not tracked |
| New-user perk | Edge4% off fees on your first $25M of volume | None documented |
| Custody | Self-custody, same account as perps and spot | Self-custody: you sign every order in your wallet |
| Identity check (KYC) | No KYCNo identity check: you connect a wallet. | Not documentedNo identity check is documented: a Solana wallet, or a Jupiter ID created with an email, Google or Apple account, is enough to start. |
| Excluded countries | 1Hyperliquid's terms exclude the US, Ontario and sanctioned territories. Outcome markets add their own list of “Excluded Persons”, which Hyperliquid does not publish. | 18Jupiter's terms list 18 prohibited countries, including the US, Taiwan, Singapore, Iran and North Korea, plus Crimea and Sevastopol. France is not on the list, although Polymarket, whose markets Jupiter routes, excludes France on its own site. Jupiter's FAQ says the mobile app blocks more regions than the web. |
| Resolution | Validator voteValidators publish the canonical markets and vote their outcomes on-chain against predefined rules, with a dispute window. No UMA or Chainlink oracle is involved. | Settled by the source venueEach market follows its source's rules: Jupiter records Polymarket's result without changing it, and refunds cancelled or voided markets. |
| Settles on | HyperCore (L1 Hyperliquid) | Solana |
| Collateral | USDC | USDC, JupUSD |
| Operator | Hyperliquid Corp. | Block Raccoon S.A. |
| Token | HYPEHyperliquid L1 | JUPSolana |
| Where it runs | Web, Android | Web, iOS, Android, Telegram |
| Chains | HyperliquidHyperliquid | SolanaSolana |
| Documented features | 4 of 10 | Edge5 of 10 |
| Order book | Yes | Not documented |
| Anyone can create a market | No | No |
| Combos / parlays | Not documented | Yes |
| Maker rebates | No | Not documented |
| Yield on collateral | Not documented | Not documented |
| Trading API | Yes | Yes |
| Mobile app | Yes | Yes |
| Telegram bot | Not documented | Yes |
| Own token | Yes | Yes |
| Points program | No | Not documented |
Which one should you pick?
Pick Hyperliquid Outcomes if
You already trade on Hyperliquid and want event contracts next to your perps, without KYC.
Prediction markets inside Hyperliquid: since May 2026, outcome contracts trade on HyperCore's order books from the same account as your perps and spot, settled in USDC and resolved by validator vote. The open question is the fee: positions pay on close or settlement, at a rate Hyperliquid has not published.
Read the Hyperliquid Outcomes reviewapp.hyperliquid.xyz
Pick Jupiter Predict if
You live on Solana and want Polymarket's markets without bridging to Polygon.
The easiest way into Polymarket's markets from Solana: sign in with a wallet or an email and trade in USDC or JupUSD, on the web, on mobile or through a Telegram bot. You pay for the convenience: on every trade, Jupiter adds a builder fee, currently 2% of trade value, to Polymarket's own fee, even on markets where polymarket.com charges nothing.
Read the Jupiter Predict reviewjup.ag
